Note80

I'm studying the book of Nasim Taleb which name's is "Black swan". It is really challenging. I love it. "Black swan" is a metaphor that says we think plenty of events that happened are predictable but they aren't. They are 3 futures; before they happen, nobody can say it will happen and they really are accidental and after they happened everybody says: Yes we know, we predicted! 

I think most of events followed this pattern. We know a little and speak a lot!

Good Luck